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Red45
157718.7
565422.3
529115.0
Blue54
598719.3
157428.2
62304.0
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions704502060801001204554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5654
#11
22.31.3
22.020.6
Auto8.8
Teleop9.9
End3.6
blue by 5.9
28.20.7
25.025.7
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End3.5
Second
1577
#23
18.71.3
20.018.6
Auto7.3
Teleop8.7
End2.6
blue by 0.6
19.30.7
13.113.8
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End1.5
Third
5291
#19
15.02.2
18.216.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End0.5
red by 11.1
6230
#22
4.00.7
5.56.2
Auto1.9
Teleop1.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed57%Ensemble oddsEarned