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Red33
706715.5
563514.9
15807.7
Blue63
571521.6
26798.7
674023.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4258020801001203363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.50.5
15.214.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End4.1
blue by 8.3
23.80.8
20.421.2
Auto8.1
Teleop14.7
End1.0
Second
5635
#15
14.90.5
13.012.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End0.3
blue by 6.7
21.60.8
21.522.3
Auto5.4
Teleop13.6
End2.6
Third
1580
#29
7.70.5
11.711.2
Auto2.1
Teleop4.5
End1.2
blue by 1.0
2679
#17
8.70.8
8.69.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned