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Red40
563514.9
784522.0
44165.3
Blue52
717711.7
598719.3
308315.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404130354550554052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7845
#16
22.00.2
17.717.9
Auto11.6
Teleop9.2
End1.3
red by 2.7
19.31.0
16.017.0
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End1.5
Second
5635
#15
14.90.2
12.512.8
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End0.3
blue by 0.2
3083
#12
15.11.0
11.612.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End2.4
Third
4416
#20
5.30.2
6.26.4
Auto5.1
Teleop0.6
End-0.3
blue by 6.4
7177
#21
11.71.0
9.310.3
Auto6.6
Teleop3.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed