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Red58
674023.8
306522.3
81758.5
Blue70
51356.7
529115.0
571521.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505130354045556065705870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.8
21.222.0
Auto8.1
Teleop14.7
End1.0
red by 2.2
21.60.0
22.322.3
Auto5.4
Teleop13.6
End2.6
Second
3065
#10
22.30.8
18.018.8
Auto7.8
Teleop13.9
End0.6
red by 7.2
5291
#19
15.00.1
14.314.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End0.5
Third
8175
#27
8.50.8
7.07.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.4
End1.2
red by 1.8
5135
#28
6.70.0
9.08.9
Auto0.7
Teleop6.0
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsEarned