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Red79
306522.3
784522.0
673820.9
Blue30
565422.3
81758.5
93035.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70330204060801001207930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#10
22.31.3
18.820.1
Auto7.8
Teleop13.9
End0.6
blue by 0.1
5654
#11
22.30.3
21.421.1
Auto8.8
Teleop9.9
End3.6
Second
7845
#16
22.01.3
17.919.3
Auto11.6
Teleop9.2
End1.3
red by 13.5
8175
#27
8.50.3
7.87.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Third
6738
#13
20.91.3
22.223.6
Auto10.7
Teleop9.6
End0.6
red by 15.6
9303
#26
5.40.3
5.14.8
Auto1.7
Teleop2.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed