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Red6
44165.3
157718.7
51356.7
Blue38
26798.7
563514.9
717711.7
53%Model gave it47%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41340100150200250638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1577
#23
18.72.0
20.518.5
Auto7.3
Teleop8.7
End2.6
red by 3.8
5635
#15
14.90.5
12.813.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End0.3
Second
5135
#28
6.72.0
8.97.0
Auto0.7
Teleop6.0
End0.0
blue by 5.0
7177
#21
11.70.5
10.310.8
Auto6.6
Teleop3.5
End1.6
Third
4416
#20
5.32.0
6.44.4
Auto5.1
Teleop0.6
End-0.3
blue by 3.4
2679
#17
8.70.5
8.18.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed