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Red89
308315.1
433815.7
333941.2
Blue28
529115.0
974017.7
15807.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7441020601001201408928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.21.1
39.540.6
Auto17.5
Teleop19.9
End3.8
red by 23.5
17.70.9
17.216.3
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End2.1
Second
4338
#18
15.71.1
10.811.9
Auto6.2
Teleop9.3
End0.2
red by 0.6
5291
#19
15.01.3
14.313.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End0.5
Third
3083
#12
15.11.1
12.613.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End2.4
red by 7.4
1580
#29
7.70.9
9.99.0
Auto2.1
Teleop4.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed