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Red120
383521.5
674023.8
169047.8
Blue45
598719.3
331618.7
571521.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1036220408012014012045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.81.1
46.747.8
Auto20.1
Teleop23.6
End4.1
red by 26.2
21.61.0
22.521.5
Auto5.4
Teleop13.6
End2.6
Second
23.81.1
22.623.7
Auto8.1
Teleop14.7
End1.0
red by 4.5
19.31.0
19.218.2
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End1.5
Third
21.51.1
19.320.4
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End2.4
red by 2.8
3316
#25
18.71.0
19.018.0
Auto8.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsEarned23%Ensemble oddsMissed