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Red50
157428.2
674111.3
15769.6
Blue0
62304.0
673820.9
15807.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51400206080100500

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.5
25.424.9
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End3.5
red by 7.3
6738
#13
20.92.5
23.621.1
Auto10.7
Teleop9.6
End0.6
Second
6741
#24
11.30.5
11.410.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End0.4
red by 3.6
1580
#29
7.72.5
9.06.5
Auto2.1
Teleop4.5
End1.2
Third
1576
#14
9.60.5
8.37.8
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End0.9
red by 5.6
6230
#22
4.02.5
4.92.4
Auto1.9
Teleop1.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed