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Red81
169047.8
306522.3
157718.7
Blue55
308315.1
571521.6
565422.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99582040801201401608155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.3
46.346.0
Auto20.1
Teleop23.6
End4.1
red by 25.4
5654
#11
22.30.1
21.121.0
Auto8.8
Teleop9.9
End3.6
Second
3065
#10
22.30.3
20.119.9
Auto7.8
Teleop13.9
End0.6
red by 0.7
21.60.1
22.322.1
Auto5.4
Teleop13.6
End2.6
Third
1577
#23
18.70.3
18.518.3
Auto7.3
Teleop8.7
End2.6
red by 3.5
3083
#12
15.10.1
13.713.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned