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Red43
157428.2
51356.7
717711.7
Blue47
598719.3
383521.5
26798.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474840455055604347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.0
24.925.0
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End3.5
red by 6.7
21.50.2
17.818.0
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End2.4
Second
7177
#21
11.70.0
10.810.8
Auto6.6
Teleop3.5
End1.6
blue by 7.6
19.30.2
17.017.3
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End1.5
Third
5135
#28
6.70.0
7.07.0
Auto0.7
Teleop6.0
End0.0
blue by 2.0
2679
#17
8.70.2
8.68.8
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
48%Ensemble oddsMissed47%Ensemble oddsMissed