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Red50
44165.3
93035.4
974017.7
Blue54
784522.0
674023.8
62304.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255204060801001205054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.70.0
16.316.3
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End2.1
blue by 6.1
23.80.7
22.022.7
Auto8.1
Teleop14.7
End1.0
Second
9303
#26
5.40.0
4.84.8
Auto1.7
Teleop2.6
End1.0
blue by 16.7
7845
#16
22.00.7
19.320.0
Auto11.6
Teleop9.2
End1.3
Third
4416
#20
5.30.0
4.44.4
Auto5.1
Teleop0.6
End-0.3
red by 1.3
6230
#22
4.00.7
2.43.1
Auto1.9
Teleop1.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed