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Red85
15769.6
169047.8
571521.6
Blue62
331618.7
333941.2
26798.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions867102040601001201401608562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.6
46.046.6
Auto20.1
Teleop23.6
End4.1
red by 6.6
41.20.4
40.840.4
Auto17.5
Teleop19.9
End3.8
Second
21.60.6
22.122.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.6
End2.6
red by 2.8
3316
#25
18.70.4
16.416.0
Auto8.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
Third
1576
#14
9.60.6
7.88.4
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End0.9
red by 0.8
2679
#17
8.70.4
8.88.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsMissed