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Red67
974017.7
308315.1
706715.5
Blue45
717711.7
674111.3
383521.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514302060801001206745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.71.2
16.317.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End2.1
blue by 3.9
21.50.4
18.018.4
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End2.4
Second
15.51.2
15.216.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End4.1
red by 3.8
7177
#21
11.70.4
10.811.2
Auto6.6
Teleop3.5
End1.6
Third
3083
#12
15.11.2
13.614.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End2.4
red by 3.8
6741
#24
11.30.4
10.911.3
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed