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Red41
331618.7
15769.6
62304.0
Blue76
306522.3
565422.3
784522.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247404060801001204176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3316
#25
18.70.8
16.016.7
Auto8.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
blue by 3.6
5654
#11
22.31.0
21.022.0
Auto8.8
Teleop9.9
End3.6
Second
1576
#14
9.60.8
8.49.2
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End0.9
blue by 12.7
3065
#10
22.31.0
19.920.9
Auto7.8
Teleop13.9
End0.6
Third
6230
#22
4.00.8
3.13.9
Auto1.9
Teleop1.8
End0.2
blue by 18.1
7845
#16
22.01.0
20.021.0
Auto11.6
Teleop9.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed