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Red63
15807.7
433815.7
598719.3
Blue70
44165.3
81758.5
157718.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413301020506070806370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.31.6
17.318.9
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End1.5
red by 0.6
1577
#23
18.70.0
18.318.3
Auto7.3
Teleop8.7
End2.6
Second
4338
#18
15.71.6
12.614.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.3
End0.2
red by 7.1
8175
#27
8.50.0
8.38.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Third
1580
#29
7.71.6
6.58.1
Auto2.1
Teleop4.5
End1.2
red by 2.4
4416
#20
5.30.0
4.44.4
Auto5.1
Teleop0.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned