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Red29
529115.0
51356.7
563514.9
Blue60
93035.4
673820.9
674023.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3556020801001202960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5291
#19
15.00.4
14.013.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End0.5
blue by 8.7
23.80.3
22.723.0
Auto8.1
Teleop14.7
End1.0
Second
5635
#15
14.90.4
13.413.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End0.3
blue by 6.0
6738
#13
20.90.3
21.121.4
Auto10.7
Teleop9.6
End0.6
Third
5135
#28
6.70.4
7.06.6
Auto0.7
Teleop6.0
End0.0
red by 1.3
9303
#26
5.40.3
4.85.1
Auto1.7
Teleop2.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed