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Red57
157428.2
81758.5
26798.7
Blue62
571521.6
717711.7
706715.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4457020801005762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.2
25.025.2
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End3.5
red by 6.6
21.60.2
22.822.5
Auto5.4
Teleop13.6
End2.6
Second
2679
#17
8.70.2
8.48.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End1.1
blue by 6.8
15.50.2
16.416.2
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End4.1
Third
8175
#27
8.50.2
8.38.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.4
End1.2
blue by 3.2
7177
#21
11.70.2
11.210.9
Auto6.6
Teleop3.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed