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Red42
93035.4
529115.0
598719.3
Blue78
169047.8
674111.3
62304.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377302060801001204278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.30.3
18.919.2
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End1.5
blue by 28.5
47.80.1
46.646.7
Auto20.1
Teleop23.6
End4.1
Second
5291
#19
15.00.3
13.613.9
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End0.5
red by 3.7
6741
#24
11.30.1
11.311.3
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End0.4
Third
9303
#26
5.40.3
5.15.4
Auto1.7
Teleop2.6
End1.0
red by 1.4
6230
#22
4.00.1
3.94.0
Auto1.9
Teleop1.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed