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Red71
383521.5
598719.3
529115.0
Blue76
157718.7
15769.6
784522.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62532040801007176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.4
21.221.5
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End2.4
blue by 0.5
7845
#16
22.00.6
21.522.1
Auto11.6
Teleop9.2
End1.3
Second
19.30.4
18.919.3
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End1.5
red by 0.6
1577
#23
18.70.6
18.118.7
Auto7.3
Teleop8.7
End2.6
Third
5291
#19
15.00.4
14.715.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End0.5
red by 5.5
1576
#14
9.60.6
9.09.6
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End0.9