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Red119
333941.2
169047.8
44165.3
Blue37
306522.3
157428.2
717711.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1106320408010012014016011937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.2
47.647.8
Auto20.1
Teleop23.6
End4.1
red by 19.6
28.20.7
28.327.7
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End3.5
Second
41.20.2
41.041.2
Auto17.5
Teleop19.9
End3.8
red by 18.9
3065
#10
22.30.7
22.421.7
Auto7.8
Teleop13.9
End0.6
Third
4416
#20
5.30.2
5.15.4
Auto5.1
Teleop0.6
End-0.3
blue by 6.4
7177
#21
11.70.7
11.811.2
Auto6.6
Teleop3.5
End1.6