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Red57
784522.0
15769.6
157718.7
Blue93
308315.1
331618.7
433815.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575101001502005793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7845
#16
22.00.1
22.122.0
Auto11.6
Teleop9.2
End1.3
red by 3.3
3316
#25
18.70.8
17.818.6
Auto8.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
Second
1577
#23
18.70.1
18.718.7
Auto7.3
Teleop8.7
End2.6
red by 3.0
4338
#18
15.70.8
14.715.5
Auto6.2
Teleop9.3
End0.2
Third
1576
#14
9.60.1
9.69.6
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End0.9
blue by 5.6
3083
#12
15.10.8
14.215.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End2.4