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Red90
717711.7
157428.2
306522.3
Blue56
308315.1
331618.7
433815.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69520204060801001201409056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.6
27.728.3
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End3.5
red by 9.5
3316
#25
18.70.2
18.618.7
Auto8.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
Second
3065
#10
22.30.6
21.722.3
Auto7.8
Teleop13.9
End0.6
red by 6.6
4338
#18
15.70.2
15.515.7
Auto6.2
Teleop9.3
End0.2
Third
7177
#21
11.70.6
11.211.8
Auto6.6
Teleop3.5
End1.6
blue by 3.4
3083
#12
15.10.2
15.015.1
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End2.4