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Red31
673820.9
51356.7
706715.5
Blue75
26798.7
571521.6
674023.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486102040801003175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6738
#13
20.90.4
21.621.2
Auto10.7
Teleop9.6
End0.6
blue by 2.9
23.80.5
23.724.1
Auto8.1
Teleop14.7
End1.0
Second
15.50.4
16.215.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End4.1
blue by 6.1
21.60.5
21.521.9
Auto5.4
Teleop13.6
End2.6
Third
5135
#28
6.70.4
7.47.0
Auto0.7
Teleop6.0
End0.0
blue by 2.0
2679
#17
8.70.5
8.69.1
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End1.1