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Red81
717711.7
157428.2
306522.3
Blue67
308315.1
331618.7
433815.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69500204060801001201408167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.5
27.427.9
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End3.5
red by 9.5
3316
#25
18.70.3
18.018.3
Auto8.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
Second
3065
#10
22.30.5
21.522.0
Auto7.8
Teleop13.9
End0.6
red by 6.6
4338
#18
15.70.3
14.915.2
Auto6.2
Teleop9.3
End0.2
Third
7177
#21
11.70.5
10.911.4
Auto6.6
Teleop3.5
End1.6
blue by 3.4
3083
#12
15.10.3
14.414.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End2.4