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Red28
43197.1
561425.4
46618.9
Blue46
22128.9
616821.9
711214.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4045203050602846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5614
#12
25.41.0
23.322.2
Auto10.5
Teleop13.1
End1.7
red by 3.4
6168
#14
21.90.3
19.118.9
Auto7.1
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Second
4661
#32
8.90.9
6.35.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End0.6
blue by 6.0
7112
#11
14.80.3
10.610.3
Auto4.7
Teleop9.0
End1.1
Third
4319
#30
7.10.9
7.66.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End1.4
blue by 1.9
2212
#21
8.90.3
10.410.1
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed