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Red62
599023.2
209624.0
432017.6
Blue50
592811.2
610414.5
193727.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583720806250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.5
19.019.4
Auto10.5
Teleop11.0
End2.5
blue by 3.0
27.01.0
20.321.3
Auto9.9
Teleop16.3
End0.8
Second
23.20.5
16.016.5
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End1.4
red by 8.7
6104
#27
14.50.9
11.112.0
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End0.5
Third
4320
#20
17.60.5
15.015.5
Auto8.1
Teleop7.7
End1.8
red by 6.3
5928
#24
11.20.9
4.85.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed