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Red69
973914.0
459018.4
263022.6
Blue39
610414.5
82236.7
338815.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48340204060801001206939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#18
22.61.8
17.419.2
Auto9.2
Teleop13.3
End0.1
red by 6.8
3388
#17
15.80.4
12.112.5
Auto8.2
Teleop5.6
End2.0
Second
4590
#10
18.41.8
13.315.1
Auto5.5
Teleop12.2
End0.7
red by 3.8
6104
#27
14.50.4
12.012.4
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End0.5
Third
9739
#22
14.01.8
11.012.8
Auto8.8
Teleop4.2
End1.0
red by 7.3
8223
#28
6.70.4
8.58.9
Auto4.1
Teleop2.7
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed