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Red32
592811.2
45869.3
561425.4
Blue85
432017.6
616821.9
223140.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347702040601001203285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5614
#12
25.40.9
22.221.3
Auto10.5
Teleop13.1
End1.7
blue by 15.1
40.51.4
30.431.7
Auto17.3
Teleop18.5
End4.7
Second
5928
#24
11.20.9
5.74.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.5
End1.1
blue by 10.7
6168
#14
21.91.4
18.920.2
Auto7.1
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Third
4586
#29
9.30.9
8.27.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End1.2
blue by 8.3
4320
#20
17.61.4
15.516.8
Auto8.1
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed