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Red53
321122.6
19542.9
610414.5
Blue48
711214.8
529115.8
193727.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31540204060801005348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.61.2
14.415.6
Auto8.6
Teleop12.1
End1.9
blue by 4.4
27.00.1
22.422.5
Auto9.9
Teleop16.3
End0.8
Second
6104
#27
14.51.2
12.413.6
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End0.5
blue by 1.2
5291
#16
15.80.1
13.513.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End0.8
Third
1954
#31
2.91.2
4.25.4
Auto1.0
Teleop1.4
End0.5
blue by 11.9
7112
#11
14.80.1
10.310.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed