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Red63
338815.8
194310.4
616821.9
Blue64
703923.3
209624.0
930410.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4161020801001206364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6168
#14
21.91.6
20.221.8
Auto7.1
Teleop12.9
End2.0
blue by 2.1
24.00.8
20.621.4
Auto10.5
Teleop11.0
End2.5
Second
3388
#17
15.81.6
12.514.1
Auto8.2
Teleop5.6
End2.0
blue by 7.6
7039
#15
23.30.8
20.821.5
Auto6.7
Teleop15.2
End1.4
Third
1943
#25
10.41.6
6.48.0
Auto5.5
Teleop4.8
End0.2
red by 0.4
9304
#23
10.00.8
11.011.8
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed