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Red31
45869.3
43197.1
973816.4
Blue56
599023.2
474413.2
973914.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274102060803156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.3
12.212.5
Auto8.1
Teleop6.7
End1.6
blue by 6.8
23.20.9
16.517.4
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End1.4
Second
4586
#29
9.30.3
7.27.5
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End1.2
blue by 4.7
9739
#22
14.00.9
12.813.7
Auto8.8
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Third
4319
#30
7.10.3
7.07.3
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End1.4
blue by 6.1
13.20.9
6.27.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed