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Red33
711214.8
592811.2
432017.6
Blue42
45869.3
555425.0
209624.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3657020801001203342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4320
#20
17.60.1
18.318.2
Auto8.1
Teleop7.7
End1.8
blue by 7.4
25.00.5
20.119.7
Auto11.8
Teleop9.3
End3.9
Second
7112
#11
14.80.1
10.410.3
Auto4.7
Teleop9.0
End1.1
blue by 9.2
24.00.5
21.420.9
Auto10.5
Teleop11.0
End2.5
Third
5928
#24
11.20.1
6.05.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.5
End1.1
red by 2.0
4586
#29
9.30.5
7.57.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed