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Red33
561425.4
474413.2
82236.7
Blue73
973816.4
599023.2
165727.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3764020801001203373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5614
#12
25.40.6
21.320.7
Auto10.5
Teleop13.1
End1.7
blue by 1.9
1657
#13
27.30.2
24.524.8
Auto9.3
Teleop16.9
End1.1
Second
13.20.6
7.16.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End2.4
blue by 10.0
23.20.2
17.417.6
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End1.4
Third
8223
#28
6.70.6
8.57.9
Auto4.1
Teleop2.7
End-0.0
blue by 9.7
16.40.2
12.512.7
Auto8.1
Teleop6.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned