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Red44
194310.4
703923.3
43197.1
Blue87
610414.5
46618.9
223140.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3858020801004487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7039
#15
23.30.5
21.522.0
Auto6.7
Teleop15.2
End1.4
blue by 17.1
40.52.2
31.733.9
Auto17.3
Teleop18.5
End4.7
Second
1943
#25
10.40.5
8.08.5
Auto5.5
Teleop4.8
End0.2
blue by 4.1
6104
#27
14.52.2
13.615.8
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End0.5
Third
4319
#30
7.10.5
7.37.8
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End1.4
blue by 1.8
4661
#32
8.92.2
4.87.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed