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Red46
193727.0
474413.2
22128.9
Blue36
703923.3
610414.5
973914.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3861020801001204636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.00.6
21.922.4
Auto9.9
Teleop16.3
End0.8
red by 3.6
7039
#15
23.31.1
22.020.9
Auto6.7
Teleop15.2
End1.4
Second
13.20.6
6.57.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End2.4
blue by 1.4
6104
#27
14.51.1
15.814.7
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End0.5
Third
2212
#21
8.90.6
9.19.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End0.3
blue by 5.1
9739
#22
14.01.1
14.713.6
Auto8.8
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed56%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed