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Red44
46618.9
432017.6
529115.8
Blue96
263022.6
194225.8
599023.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions407402060801001204496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4320
#20
17.60.1
18.218.1
Auto8.1
Teleop7.7
End1.8
blue by 8.2
1942
#19
25.81.6
25.427.0
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End1.8
Second
5291
#16
15.80.1
15.015.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End0.8
blue by 7.4
23.21.6
17.619.2
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End1.4
Third
4661
#32
8.90.1
7.06.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End0.6
blue by 13.8
2630
#18
22.61.6
19.621.2
Auto9.2
Teleop13.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned52%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed