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Red65
43197.1
307524.2
474413.2
Blue65
45869.3
194225.8
321122.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476502040801001206565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.2
Auto8.3
Teleop11.9
End4.1
blue by 1.6
1942
#19
25.8
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End1.8
Second
13.2
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End2.4
blue by 9.5
22.6
Auto8.6
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Third
4319
#30
7.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End1.4
blue by 2.2
4586
#29
9.3
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed