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Red50
973816.4
610414.5
22128.9
Blue49
555425.0
711214.8
930410.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414702060805049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.8
13.314.2
Auto8.1
Teleop6.7
End1.6
blue by 8.6
25.00.5
20.220.7
Auto11.8
Teleop9.3
End3.9
Second
6104
#27
14.50.8
14.715.5
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End0.5
blue by 0.3
7112
#11
14.80.5
10.511.0
Auto4.7
Teleop9.0
End1.1
Third
2212
#21
8.90.8
9.710.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End0.3
blue by 1.0
9304
#23
10.00.5
10.811.3
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed