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Red94
711214.8
459018.4
165727.3
Blue41
432017.6
263022.6
930410.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645601001502009441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1657
#13
27.31.5
27.328.7
Auto9.3
Teleop16.9
End1.1
red by 4.6
2630
#18
22.60.7
22.621.9
Auto9.2
Teleop13.3
End0.1
Second
4590
#10
18.41.5
18.419.9
Auto5.5
Teleop12.2
End0.7
red by 0.8
4320
#20
17.60.7
18.317.6
Auto8.1
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Third
7112
#11
14.81.5
11.012.5
Auto4.7
Teleop9.0
End1.1
red by 4.9
9304
#23
10.00.7
10.710.0
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed