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Red71
194225.8
223015.5
973816.4
Blue56
43197.1
555425.0
616821.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59583040507080901007156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1942
#19
25.81.2
25.927.1
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End1.8
red by 0.8
25.00.1
21.821.9
Auto11.8
Teleop9.3
End3.9
Second
16.41.2
14.515.7
Auto8.1
Teleop6.7
End1.6
blue by 5.5
6168
#14
21.90.1
22.522.6
Auto7.1
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Third
2230
#26
15.51.2
12.713.9
Auto6.9
Teleop6.7
End1.9
red by 8.4
4319
#30
7.10.1
8.08.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed