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Red44
610414.5
529115.8
194310.4
Blue64
711214.8
307524.2
561425.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4175020601001201404464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5291
#16
15.80.1
15.114.9
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End0.8
blue by 9.6
5614
#12
25.40.0
24.424.4
Auto10.5
Teleop13.1
End1.7
Second
6104
#27
14.50.1
16.216.1
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End0.5
blue by 9.7
24.20.0
24.924.9
Auto8.3
Teleop11.9
End4.1
Third
1943
#25
10.40.1
9.99.7
Auto5.5
Teleop4.8
End0.2
blue by 4.5
7112
#11
14.80.0
14.614.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned