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Red70
82236.7
599023.2
193727.0
Blue44
22128.9
973914.0
45869.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613102040801007044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.01.2
22.123.4
Auto9.9
Teleop16.3
End0.8
red by 13.0
9739
#22
14.00.8
14.215.0
Auto8.8
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Second
23.21.2
21.722.9
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End1.4
red by 13.9
4586
#29
9.30.8
7.07.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Third
8223
#28
6.71.2
7.58.7
Auto4.1
Teleop2.7
End-0.0
blue by 2.2
2212
#21
8.90.8
10.411.2
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed