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Red61
338815.8
22128.9
307524.2
Blue58
973816.4
194310.4
711214.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5842020801001206158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.4
24.925.2
Auto8.3
Teleop11.9
End4.1
red by 7.8
16.41.1
15.716.7
Auto8.1
Teleop6.7
End1.6
Second
3388
#17
15.80.4
14.614.9
Auto8.2
Teleop5.6
End2.0
red by 1.0
7112
#11
14.81.1
14.615.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.0
End1.1
Third
2212
#21
8.90.4
11.211.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End0.3
blue by 1.4
1943
#25
10.41.1
9.710.8
Auto5.5
Teleop4.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed