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Red68
165727.3
432017.6
321122.6
Blue80
223140.5
82236.7
973914.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76710501001502002506880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1657
#13
27.30.0
28.728.7
Auto9.3
Teleop16.9
End1.1
blue by 13.2
40.50.4
40.741.1
Auto17.3
Teleop18.5
End4.7
Second
22.60.0
20.720.7
Auto8.6
Teleop12.1
End1.9
red by 8.6
9739
#22
14.00.4
15.015.4
Auto8.8
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Third
4320
#20
17.60.0
18.518.5
Auto8.1
Teleop7.7
End1.8
red by 10.8
8223
#28
6.70.4
8.79.1
Auto4.1
Teleop2.7
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed