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Red19
263022.6
19542.9
616821.9
Blue57
45869.3
703923.3
193727.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516302040801001201957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#18
22.61.9
21.919.9
Auto9.2
Teleop13.3
End0.1
blue by 4.4
27.00.1
23.423.5
Auto9.9
Teleop16.3
End0.8
Second
6168
#14
21.91.9
22.620.7
Auto7.1
Teleop12.9
End2.0
blue by 1.4
7039
#15
23.30.1
24.224.3
Auto6.7
Teleop15.2
End1.4
Third
1954
#31
2.91.9
3.31.4
Auto1.0
Teleop1.4
End0.5
blue by 6.4
4586
#29
9.30.1
7.87.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed52%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed