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Red51
930410.0
46618.9
599023.2
Blue55
321122.6
555425.0
474413.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4263020801001205155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.6
23.023.6
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End1.4
blue by 1.8
25.00.0
22.822.8
Auto11.8
Teleop9.3
End3.9
Second
9304
#23
10.00.6
9.39.9
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End0.4
blue by 12.7
22.60.0
20.720.7
Auto8.6
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Third
4661
#32
8.90.6
8.08.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End0.6
blue by 4.3
13.20.0
11.011.0
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsEarned