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Red63
616821.9
973816.4
561425.4
Blue35
459018.4
432017.6
22128.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7053204060801001201406335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5614
#12
25.40.1
24.124.2
Auto10.5
Teleop13.1
End1.7
red by 7.0
4590
#10
18.41.0
19.618.6
Auto5.5
Teleop12.2
End0.7
Second
6168
#14
21.90.1
20.720.8
Auto7.1
Teleop12.9
End2.0
red by 4.4
4320
#20
17.61.0
18.517.5
Auto8.1
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Third
16.40.1
16.716.8
Auto8.1
Teleop6.7
End1.6
red by 7.5
2212
#21
8.91.0
11.510.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed