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Red38
43197.1
223015.5
22128.9
Blue56
194310.4
321122.6
263022.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3762020801001203856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2230
#26
15.51.2
16.615.4
Auto6.9
Teleop6.7
End1.9
blue by 7.1
2630
#18
22.60.1
21.721.8
Auto9.2
Teleop13.3
End0.1
Second
2212
#21
8.91.2
10.69.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End0.3
blue by 13.7
22.60.1
20.720.8
Auto8.6
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Third
4319
#30
7.11.2
9.38.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End1.4
blue by 3.3
1943
#25
10.40.1
10.810.8
Auto5.5
Teleop4.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed