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Red67
599023.2
610414.5
711214.8
Blue60
194225.8
165727.3
19542.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6059405070806760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.5
23.624.1
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End1.4
blue by 4.1
1657
#13
27.30.4
28.729.1
Auto9.3
Teleop16.9
End1.1
Second
7112
#11
14.80.5
13.514.0
Auto4.7
Teleop9.0
End1.1
blue by 10.9
1942
#19
25.80.4
24.324.6
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End1.8
Third
6104
#27
14.50.5
15.516.0
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End0.5
red by 11.6
1954
#31
2.90.4
1.51.9
Auto1.0
Teleop1.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed